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Comment And it's cheap? (Score 4, Insightful) 104

So wait, somehow China managed to

a. Get electricity cheaper than here
b. Develop a gigantic new industry
and
c. Actually reverse course on carbon intensity while still being far-and-away the world's manufacturer of traditionally dirty products like steel?

Boy am I sure glad we went all in on drill-baby-drill. That sure worked out for us.

Comment Re:Maybe our jobs aren't gone just yet (Score 2) 30

The way I've been putting it is AI is going to end up filling the exact same role access databases did 15-20 years ago. A way to create a "good enough solution" for some small function in a business to get started that then rapidly approaches unsustainable as the technical debt starts to pile up and the fundamental limits of the technology start to show themselves. Then suddenly you need to start doing a "Business transition" that takes millions of dollars of developer time to clean up.

Comment Re:just that? (Score 1) 120

Good news, they just divided the estimated amount of wealth by the estimated number of people in two scenarios.

Unfortunately, my tendency is to view it as bullshit, not because of the climate science, but because of the economic models, where mitigated climate change is depicted as a simple differential equation of reduced exponential growth and unmitigated climate change is rendered as the same thing but with a new factor in the form of supply chain disruption estimation, which is essentially derived from averaging 14 other published models that were designed to measure other economic impacts of climate change, but not exactly the ones this paper is assuming.

Basically, my objection is that supply chain disruptions are not exponential in nature, and there's an adaptive dimension to them such that their effects on the flow of economies is dampened by planning.

Comment Re:Biased, perhaps? (Score 1) 31

On the other hand, it's important to understand that GDP itself is a stupid measure of anything these days and represents predominantly "paper value" and not real productivity because of the technical details of how it's calculated. With that in mind, it seems quite reasonable to assume something stupid and almost entirely existing only on paper like AI might shift and upset it.

Comment Re:$1000 just for a ticket? (Score 1) 33

1k for a professional conference with networking opportunities is very typical.

That's the cost of a 1 day pass at GDC these days, and I've seen similar prices in the professional author space when publishers are attending and soliciting work(I'm not an author). As a programmer, things have historically been a bit cheaper, mostly because there doesn't seem to be One Big Name in the software industry, so they have to compete.

Comment Re:Sigh, just more "climate" panic (Score 2) 48

I get what you're going for, but of course researchers think of this and check on it before publishing their findings. It's even directly in the abstract.

Subgroup analyses show no strong evidence for increased vulnerability by sociodemographic factors. These findings provide insights into the biological underpinnings linking heat to aging-related morbidity and mortality risks.

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